Sunday, August 17, 2008

History favors McCain: Saddleback retrospective

McCain did talking points at the Saddleback forum, and he's been a known name since before becoming a household word during the Keating 5 scandal. Talking points worked for the Bush-Cheney campaign, so perhaps McCain did "win" the contest at Saddleback, as some pundits are espousing.No ties at Saddleback, just regular guys... And McCain has decades of name recognition going for him, clearly.

Obama relied on candid answers during his Saddleback appearance, which may impress people more now that we've seen the result of 8 years with a talking point president that put the economy in a tailspin (not just for today but for whoever ends up paying for Bush's war,) but obviously many find it easier to be comfortable with the talking points style of politics.

When Bush ran against Kerry, the talking point approach was reinforced by unabashed attack politics, albeit largely handled by surrogates. It worked. The term "swiftboated" as a way to describe the effect of the lies on Kerry's outcome on election day is as recognizable in the lexicon as the overuse of a "-gate" suffix for something that brings down a major figure.

So the question becomes:

Will those who prefer talking point prepared and vetted by a politician's handlers turn out to vote in larger numbers in November, or will those who prefer a President they can believe, and trust?

People knew, back when Bill Clinton ran, that they couldn't actually trust what he said, based on "didn't inhale." They understood it to be a socially acceptable answer, but not the unvarnished truth. In fact, we expect our leaders to conceal certain things from us in the name of national security, so it was curiously reassuring. That "didn't inhale" response may have been the pivotal point in electing a man with only state-level experience to the Oval Office. Then, late in his term, President Clinton began quibbling over what terms such as "sexual relations" and "is" meant... and we got George W. Bush as the country reacted to Clinton's disingenuous, political responses when the subject was personal.

So, will celebrity, attack politics and talking points win? Despite my own preferences, and hopes, it will take a lot of people showing up on election day and expressing their true desire for a candid, honest form of politics to make that happen - and like it or not, history favors McCain. Still, I'll advocate on behalf of the outsider, Obama, and vote for him in November.

I don't blame all Republicans for the state of the economy and the debt we're facing. I might've been suckered by the doctored intelligence reports, myself, when it came time to vote on various Iraq issues, and I surely believed Colin Powell, who soldiered on dutifully for his Commander In Chief in front of the United Nations and the world. We goofed, frankly -- yet this remains the one place I want to live and raise my family.

I just think under the leadership we've had since 2000 that we've gone down bad paths, and I'm ready for a pragmatic, candid, visionary leader to take the U.S.A. in a new direction.

That, my friends, is the audacity of hope.

4 comments:

  1. Hey Tom. What about a person who says he wants a $7,000 tax credit for each kid? Doens't that encourage the poor to have more kids?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hey Tom. What about a person who says he wants a $7,000 tax credit for each kid? Doens't that encourage the poor to have more kids?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous8:16 PM

    Sorry, I'm new to the blogosphere. Is this really what passes for analysis out here?

    You say McCain has a celebrity advantage over Obama? Let me help clear up your confusion - McCain is the "wrinkly, white-haired dude", Obama is the other one.

    I think what we actually saw at Saddleback is the reason why Obama backed out on McCain's offer of joint townhall forums. His law school parsing of every question doesn't stand up alongside direct answers to direct questions.

    I do agree that the leadership in this country since 2000 has been abysmal and that the solution is electing a pragmatic, candid, visionary leader (and I'll throw in accomplished). But that's not your candidate.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I don't see how family values voters can consider a candidate who cheated on his first wife with multiple women, then left her to marry a beer model flush with cash, and launch his political career. Disgusting. I am amazed that the media has not decided to mention this more than in passing. How can you trust someone like this?

    Add to this the Keating Five, the Casino Scandal, etc.....

    ReplyDelete