This is not going to win points at the Democratic Party headquarters, but I've got to be honest. If Virginia gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell's lead in the polls becomes a victory over Democratic Challenger Creigh Deeds, don't blame President Barack Obama, blame Creigh Deeds.
Creigh Deeds
If Creigh Deeds wins, don't thank President Obama, look at Creigh Deeds, the underdog.
Look, politics, for all the computers and Internet, and target marketing, is still basically a popularity contest. And in this one, Creigh Deeds is just not the charismatic, inspiring political representative Democrats need to take the Virginia governor's race.
But he's a steady, honest, player. Deeds isn't a "top model" politician, he'a worker-bee elected official who's built a solid record representing the views of rural Virginians. Deeds isn't the guy you expect to beat former DNC-head and Hillary Clinton Campaign Manager Terry McAuliffe, but he did.
In fact, Deeds won after being in, well, the same position he's in today on Election Day: out-gunned both at the polls and in the pocket book. McDonnell has a funding lead and a poll lead of about 20 percent.
The perfect scenario for an upset.
African American voters gave President Obama the edge he needed to win Virginia last year, and for obvious reasons connected to history. If anyone expects Deeds to replicate Obama's performance they're smoking non-medicinal weed, ya know?
And sometimes that weed works.
What could put the rather plain-jane Deeds over the top and into the Virginia Governor's Office? Good question.
A turnout of women, gays, and the young in college in strong numbers could be the foundation for an upset. Whatever the outcome, it's the story of the underdog, like Creigh Deeds, that make politics fun.
Stay tuned.
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