3-way Senate Debate in MN: battleground Republican incumbent falling behind in polls

If you don't think Senator Norm Coleman (R-MN) is in trouble defending his Senate seat, you probably don't think it snows in Minneapolis in the wintertime. He's in danger of losing to a comedian turned author/activist... Coleman's ads may be almost as negative than McCain's, but then Franken's path is almost as improbable as Obama's. Analysis and reactions after the debate Sunday night.

Reader's digest:

Coleman's attacks are backfiring, arguably reminding voters that he's a veteran politico in a year when many want to throw the bums in DC out and start fresh.

How fragile is the incumbent?

Al Franken, Dean Barkley, and Senator Norm Coleman met for a debate Sunday night in Rochester, a few miles south of the world famous Mayo Clinic, and frankly Coleman did worse than you'd expect from a veteran politician. He was visibly uncomfortable at times, mumbling as he raced through bullet points; his trademark tendency to leave sentences and thoughts incomplete made a stark contrast to Franken's quiet eloquence.

Barkley, for his part, was affable and folksy, yet undermined his credibility suddenly when he replied at one point that he had "nothing more to say" about energy. It may have been a bid to seem succint, but in front of an attentive audience it was either a curious tactic to adopt or a blunder that made him seem ill-informed.

Is Coleman vulnerable?

True, partisans supporting all three were likely happy with their man's performance. It's difficult to measure the impact such events have quickly, let alone objectively, but listening on the way out I think it's fair to say that Coleman's supporters sounded concerned by more than just his fall in the polling data. Franken's seemed more impressed, and optimistic about his chances in one of the races that's attracted national attention - and money.

I interviewed a number of people right afterward as they were leaving the site of the debate, and the one that stands out is the small business owner I spoke to in the following video. He was cogent, and coherent. Despite Mr. Beck's admitted bias I think this probably gives as accurate a reflection as anecdotal interviews are likely to uncover.

Beck is the owner of the "Javalive" a community coffee house in Faribault, Minnesota, roughly halfway between the Twin Cities and Rochester. As an entrepreneurial host for local talent, be it musical, poetical (or some other form of artistic endeavor) Beck has his fingers on the pulse of the residents of Faribault, a county seat with approximately 20,000 residents. As a small businessman he's constantly tracking the impact of politics on his community, and his bank balance.

I'll get more video from the debate uploaded soon, but Beck's reaction comes first.

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