The sheer power of Senator Barack Obama's eleven straight primary wins and its impact on the delegate race can be seen just by using Slate's Delegate Calculator. It's an online device where one can test how overall or specific state-by-state percentage wins effect the overall delegate race.
I've found that even if Senator Clinton were to win all of the remaining contests by an average of 10 percent for each state, including today's "Super Tuesday" primaries -- a total of 16 primaries and contests -- Senator Obama would still hold an overall lead in pledged delegates, but need 392 superdelegates to reach 2,025.
Right now, he has 208 Superdelegates.
Now, think about this. Even if Clinton WON each -- each state -- from now on and by an average of 10 percent, Obama would still have the lead in delegates 1,633 to 1,576.
That's why there's so much pressure for Clinton to get out of the race. There's no realistic scenario where Clinton could win all of the states and have the delegate lead. The only one is totally unrealistic and that's for Clinton to win 60 to 40 in all of the remaining states, including today. That means she would have to see a 20 point average win.
That's not going to happen.
Now what would happen if Senator Obama won each state by an average of 10 percent? (Something more likely than the Clinton example.) Then Obama would have 1,732 delegates, with Clinton at 1,477 delegates; Obama needs 293 Superdelegates; he has 208 now.
That means if 95 undeclared Superdelegates move to back Obama, it's over under this scenario.
Obama By Four?
OK. So what if Obama won by a four percent average in each primary and caucus, including today's events? Then Obama would need 323 Superdelegates; since he has 208 as of this writing, then 125 undeclared Superdelegates would have to back Obama.
According to MSNBC, Obama's campaign says they have 50 Superdelegates ready to back Obama. If they all sign up, that means he only needs 75 more to support him and it's over. This may be the most likely outcome of all. At least we should consider it a benchmark.
Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Fox News Ainsley Earhardt Likes Wearing Skirts; Showing Legs
In more proof that Fox News ratings prowess comes from their female hosts showing their legs , we have Fox News' Ainsley Earhardt proudly proclaiming that at Fox News women wear skirts because they're, well, women. She then says that they could wear pants but the male show hosts explain they like the skirts.
I'l bet they do. Here's the video:
UPDATE:
I'l bet they do. Here's the video:
UPDATE:
Keith Olbermann Points To Clinton Fear-Mongering
Yep. IF you want to learn what crap the Clinton campaign's throwing at America on the eve of Super Tuesday Two, you've come to the right place. This is a video of Keith Olbermann's show featuring Rachel Medow of Air America Radio. They look at the Clinton 3:10 AM ad and pick it apart as "Something a person running for John McCain's Vice Presidential seat" would do.
Geez.
Geez.
Monday, March 03, 2008
Clinton Racism Out Of Control: Clinton Caller Uses "Osama" Not "Obama"
On the eve of what some call the second "Super Tuesday" we have a Chicago Tribune report of an Ohio Clinton Campaign caller using the name "Osama" in place of Obama and saying "Osama Bin Laden".
I don't know when the Clinton racism will end, but I do know that regardless I'm not voting for Hillary Clinton at all. She's ran a campaign that just plain speaks to the worst of America, and I'm not happy that people like John Edwards have not come out to endorse Senator Obama, because their actions would help end her race-based campaign.
The Clintons are using the worst aspects of America to win. Is that any way to run a campaign? It's not worked for them to this point, but God help us all if it does. America should be ashamed of itself for even allowing this kind of political farse of a campaign to go on.
To use a term I find myself coming to again and again with repect to Clinton, it stinks. It really does.
Oh, this is the full text of what the Clinton caller said:
So last night around dinner time, the phone rings. It’s the Hillary campaign–official number, per the caller ID. The woman on the other end asks me if Hillary can count on my support Tuesday. I say I have not decided.
She asks what would help me decide. I say, “Well . . . maybe she can make Bill her vice president.” She does not know how to take me, of course, but has to assume I am serious. “I don’t think she can do that.” “Bill will have a significant role in major decisions, though, won’t he?” I ask. “Oh, certainly he will be very involved. Do you like Bill?” “Very much.” I reply.
She then launches into a two-minute spiel on all the very specific initiatives and proposals Hillary has put forth on health care, the war in Iraq, etc., etc. At the end of her spiel, she says, “And we haven’t heard anything that specific from Osama bin Laden.”
I say, “You did not just say that.” She replies, “I’m sorry . . . just a slip of the tongue.” She then thanks me for my time and encourages me to vote for Hillary on Tuesday.
Someone get Hillary to quit before she wrecks the Democratic Party.
I don't know when the Clinton racism will end, but I do know that regardless I'm not voting for Hillary Clinton at all. She's ran a campaign that just plain speaks to the worst of America, and I'm not happy that people like John Edwards have not come out to endorse Senator Obama, because their actions would help end her race-based campaign.
The Clintons are using the worst aspects of America to win. Is that any way to run a campaign? It's not worked for them to this point, but God help us all if it does. America should be ashamed of itself for even allowing this kind of political farse of a campaign to go on.
To use a term I find myself coming to again and again with repect to Clinton, it stinks. It really does.
Oh, this is the full text of what the Clinton caller said:
So last night around dinner time, the phone rings. It’s the Hillary campaign–official number, per the caller ID. The woman on the other end asks me if Hillary can count on my support Tuesday. I say I have not decided.
She asks what would help me decide. I say, “Well . . . maybe she can make Bill her vice president.” She does not know how to take me, of course, but has to assume I am serious. “I don’t think she can do that.” “Bill will have a significant role in major decisions, though, won’t he?” I ask. “Oh, certainly he will be very involved. Do you like Bill?” “Very much.” I reply.
She then launches into a two-minute spiel on all the very specific initiatives and proposals Hillary has put forth on health care, the war in Iraq, etc., etc. At the end of her spiel, she says, “And we haven’t heard anything that specific from Osama bin Laden.”
I say, “You did not just say that.” She replies, “I’m sorry . . . just a slip of the tongue.” She then thanks me for my time and encourages me to vote for Hillary on Tuesday.
Someone get Hillary to quit before she wrecks the Democratic Party.
Calvin Pace and Damien Woody Sign With Gang Green
General manager Mike Tannenbaum and head coach Eric Mangini remained exceedingly active in the free agent market today, signing Cardinals linebacker Calvin Pace and the Lions offensive tackle Damien Woody.
Pace, a former first-round pick in 2003, recorded 98 tackles and 6.5 sacks last season after managing a dismal 88 tackles and 7.5 sacks through his first four years in the desert.
Woody, a nine-year veteran from Boston College and member of the Detroit Lions for the past four seasons, will play right tackle for the Jets this upcoming season in an attempt to solidify New York's already formidable line.
Pace, a former first-round pick in 2003, recorded 98 tackles and 6.5 sacks last season after managing a dismal 88 tackles and 7.5 sacks through his first four years in the desert.
Woody, a nine-year veteran from Boston College and member of the Detroit Lions for the past four seasons, will play right tackle for the Jets this upcoming season in an attempt to solidify New York's already formidable line.
Four-Time Pro Bowl TE Alge Crumpler To Tennessee
After being released last month by the Atlanta Falcons, tight end Alge Crumpler agreed to a two-year contract with the upstart Titans.
Transferring from one anemic offense to another, Crumpler will have a significant uphill battle with an embattled offense that struggled profusely last season to find the endzone.
During his first three seasons in Atlanta, the former second round pick out of the University of North Carolina was hampered by low reception and yardage total, but witnessed his productivity accelerate from 2004-2006. Crumpler compiled at least 48 receptions, 774 yards and five touchdowns en route to consecutive Pro Bowl appearances.
Within that same span, Titans starting tight ends managed a woeful 29 receptions, 370
yards and two scores at the very least. Quarterback Vince Young will receiver a much needed boost in the addition of Crumpler and a security blanket that he has not been privy to during his two seasons in Tennessee.
Transferring from one anemic offense to another, Crumpler will have a significant uphill battle with an embattled offense that struggled profusely last season to find the endzone.
During his first three seasons in Atlanta, the former second round pick out of the University of North Carolina was hampered by low reception and yardage total, but witnessed his productivity accelerate from 2004-2006. Crumpler compiled at least 48 receptions, 774 yards and five touchdowns en route to consecutive Pro Bowl appearances.
Within that same span, Titans starting tight ends managed a woeful 29 receptions, 370
yards and two scores at the very least. Quarterback Vince Young will receiver a much needed boost in the addition of Crumpler and a security blanket that he has not been privy to during his two seasons in Tennessee.
Alan Faneca To The New York Jets
Former Pittsburgh Steelers offensive guard Alan Faneca has agreed to a five year,$40 million deal that includes $21 million in guaranteed money.
A distinguished member of the Steelers All-Time team, Faneca played an instrumental part in the teams overarching success over the past ten years and their 2005 Super Bowl victory.
Faneca will now join 24-year old tackles D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold to establish one of the premier offensive lines in the NFL.
A distinguished member of the Steelers All-Time team, Faneca played an instrumental part in the teams overarching success over the past ten years and their 2005 Super Bowl victory.
Faneca will now join 24-year old tackles D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold to establish one of the premier offensive lines in the NFL.
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